Zogby polls out today show a change in the tides for the Clinton campaign. According to the polls, Clinton looses by at least 4 points to every major Republican candidate.
This comes on the heels of Clinton's rapidly declining poll numbers in Iowa, as Obama is gaining on her heels.
We're only five weeks until the crucial caucus, and things are not looking good for Clinton.
Another Iowa surprise, Mike Huckabee is quickly catching up to Mitt Romney. Romney, who had spent large amounts of money on early campaign ads in the state, seemed to have the caucus locked up. Not so, it seems.
When everything seemed all but certain, the rug was pulled out from under the 2008 horse race. Clinton seemed to be a sure-bet for the Democratic nomination. However, since her disastrous debate performances on CNN and MSNBC, and the question-placing scandal, she has been steadily slipping in the polls, allowing Barack Obama to gain momentum. Mitt Romeny seemed virtually untouchable in Iowa, with all other candidates seemingly giving up hope of winning Iowa, and looking toward other primaries.
It seems the largest underestimation made by pundits was the voting pool of the Iowa caucus. These are not your Hollywood Liberal or your East-Coast conservatives. These are middle americans. They have traditional values. Clinton is a bit too radical for the midwest. John Edwards is the most traditional, it seems, of the democratic candidates. Recently, he has been gaining in Iowa, but he needs a bigger surge to have any hope of getting the nomination.
Romney, while a fiscal conservative, has flip-flopped on abortion. His religious views may not sit well in the heartland as well. However, Huckabee is the embodiment of traditional values. He has had consistent debate preformances, and gets better with each one. He is personable, funny, and immensely likable. It is entirely possible for Huckabee to pull off an upset in iowa, which would spell bad new for Romney, and good news for Rudy Giuliani.
We're five weeks away, and anything could happen. Let the games begin!
Tuesday, November 27, 2007
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